This hand was my downfall, my opponent obviously understands the math better than I.
Now since I'm a dodo when it comes to Razz's math, here's the #'s from a computer simulation:
4th Street
Razz Simulation
600,000 trials (Randomized)
600,000 trials (Randomized)
dead cards: 762q7q
Hand | Pot equity | Wins | Ties |
---|---|---|---|
8245 | 62.17% | 372,215 | 1,638 |
**69 | 12.73% | 76,265 | 268 |
**4a | 25.09% | 149,748 | 1,638 |
5th Street
Razz Simulation
600,000 trials (Randomized)
600,000 trials (Randomized)
dead cards: 762q7q
Hand | Pot equity | Wins | Ties |
---|---|---|---|
8245q | 42.61% | 254,357 | 2,605 |
**697 | 24.58% | 147,441 | 98 |
**4a8 | 32.81% | 195,519 | 2,663 |
6th Street
Razz Simulation
600,000 trials (Randomized)
600,000 trials (Randomized)
dead cards: 762q7q
Hand | Pot equity | Wins | Ties |
---|---|---|---|
8245q6 | 74.73% | 448,248 | 225 |
**6973 | 15.20% | 91,093 | 158 |
**4a89 | 10.08% | 60,419 | 97 |
I missed raising here, not that my opponent would have folded...oh well, nice river.
I busted out of the Mookie in 40ish or so place. I had to sit out a few times, once for 15 min, and just couldn't get focused at all. Given the stuff going on at home last night, I normally wouldn't have played, but given my standing for the monthly BBT3 prize, I played anyway. I saw that TJ final tabled again so I'm fairly certain I've been bumped from the top spot. Hopefully, I can regain the lead in these final events, should be an interesting ending to say the least.
2BA
3 comments:
How are you doing simulations without knowing the other 2 cards in the other 2 hands?
The Calculator takes those unknown/random cards into consideration...represented by the astirisks. If your interested, check it out here:
http://www.propokertools.com/simulator/razzSimulationEditor.jsp
Thanks...I use that tool all the time but never noticed the ** use.
You probably know this....
but any calculation using two random cards is way off the mark since your two opponents don't have random cards--they have as good or better cards than you in the hole.
If you reverse the analysis, and pretend to be one of the other players with good cards in the hole, you'll see what I mean.
Thanks,
Mitchell
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